Manager, RLC Forecasting and Demand Planning at Carrier in Indianapolis, IN | USD18,000-165,000 | Kablio

Role

Description

forecast modeling

scenario analysis

model accuracy

dashboard management

ai integration

demand sensing

Incorporate U.S. and Canadian regulatory changes (e.g., SEER2 standards, refrigerant transition) and insights from the Market Intelligence and Strategic Insights team into the forecast and demand planning models
Pressure-test the Annual Operating Plan (Plan) industry outlook forecast to ensure achievability and reasonableness
Generate supplemental industry outlook forecast scenarios through sensitivity analysis against key variables and assumptions to provide senior leadership with a lower and upper bound for the forecast, in addition to the baseline forecast
Maintain an in-depth knowledge of designated markets and trends through monitoring industry reports, market research, and relevant macroeconomic data, most notably from S&P, Moody’s, National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and HARDI
Track and continuously monitor and improve forecast model accuracy using KPIs such as MAPE
Leverage, maintain, and refine PowerBI / QuickSight dashboard of standard planning and forecasting analytics for senior leadership, inclusive of “Red Flag” metrics (e.g. shipment vs. movement, fill rate deltas, actual vs. plan, Add On Replacement vs. Residential New Construction split)
Aggressively identify opportunities to leverage and deploy AI tools and new data sources to improve model accuracy
Transform large amounts of data into meaningful and impactful terms
Collaborate with North America Sales & Operations Planning personnel to mutually develop the SIOP monthly demand forecast for North America Residential and Light Commercial, which balances unconstrainted demand and supply constraints
Collaborate with Carrier Distributor Sales, Distributor Performance, and Strategic Account leadership as well as with North American distributors, dealer advisory councils and OEM partners gather demand signals and validate forecast assumptions
Leverage, maintain, and refine Carrier’s demand sensing forecast for Residential and Light Commercial to detect and respond to short-term changes in customer demand
Leverage, maintain, and refine industry outlook models developed to forecast the North America Residential and Light Commercial HVAC markets for the monthly Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process, Annual Operating Plan (Plan) and five-year Long-Range Plan

Requirements

python

sas

power bi

tableau

excel

master’s degree

Proven ability to execute with speed and exhibit a bias for action
5+ years of advanced demand planning and forecasting
Bachelor’s degree
Familiarity with U.S. and Canadian HVAC industry, including current and future regulations and standards, market dynamics and distribution channels
5+ years of experience developing executive-level summaries and presentations
Experience with statistical modeling, data science tools such as Python, SAS, cloud platforms or similar tools
Demonstrated ability to communicate complex information clearly and accurately to a variety of audiences both orally and through written material
Experience with business intelligence, analytics, data visualization and Supply Chain management tools such as Power BI, Tableau, ThinkCell, Kinaxis and similar tools
Knowledge of macroeconomic trends and factors and their impact on HVAC demand (e.g. regional climate trends, mortgage interest rates, residential new construction starts, existing home sales)
An ability to work collaboratively and deliver results through virtual collaboration environments leveraging platforms such as Microsoft Teams
5+ years of advanced knowledge and work in Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint
Master’s degree, preferably in Business Administration, Data Science/Analytics, Supply Chain, or related field

Benefits

Disability: Short-term and long-term disability
Retirement benefits
Life Insurance and Accidental Death and Dismemberment
Tuition Assistance
Health Care benefits: Medical, Dental, Vision; wellness incentives
Tax-Advantaged Accounts: Health Savings Account; Healthcare Spending Account; Dependent Care Spending Account
Time Off and Leave: Paid vacation days, up to 15 days; paid sick days, up to 5 days; paid personal leave, up to 5 days; paid holidays, up to 13 days; birth and adoption leave; parental leave; family and medical leave; bereavement leave; jury duty; military leave; purchased vacation

Training + Development

Information not given or found

Interview process

Information not given or found

Visa Sponsorship

Information not given or found

Security clearance

Information not given or found

Company

Overview

Over 170 Countries

Global Reach

Carrier operates in over 170 countries worldwide, showcasing its extensive global presence and diverse customer base.

A global leader in high-performance building technologies, with a focus on energy-efficient solutions.
Started as part of United Technologies, Carrier has a long history of innovation in HVAC, refrigeration, and fire safety.
Their product portfolio includes systems for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and fire detection.
Carrier has contributed to significant projects worldwide, from large commercial buildings to sustainable residential solutions.
With a focus on reducing environmental impact, Carrier integrates cutting-edge technology in its products.
From smart building management systems to integrated refrigeration solutions, Carrier leads in the energy-efficient building sector.

Culture + Values

Respect: Others are treated the way they would like to be treated.
Integrity:onesty、accountability and ethics are prioritized.
Inclusion: Efforts are made to create an environment where everyone feels included, regardless of differences.
Innovation: Constant efforts are made to develop, improve and achieve sustainable growth.
Excellence: Delivering high-quality products and services with urgency and flawless execution.
Passion for Customers: Success is tied to the success of customers.
Play to Win: Aiming to be the best in everything that is done.
Choose Speed: Decisions and actions are taken with a focus on speed.
Achieve Results: Performing effectively with integrity.
Dare to Disrupt: Innovating and seeking sustainable solutions.
Build Best Teams: Developing diverse teams and empowering them to move faster.

Environment + Sustainability

Net-Zero by 2050

Long-Term Emissions Goal

Aims to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions across the entire value chain by 2050.

42% Reduction

Scope 1 and 2 Emissions Target

Seeks to reduce absolute Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by 42% by 2030, measured from the 2021 baseline.

$4B Investment

Climate Solutions Funding

Plans to invest over $4 billion by 2030 in intelligent climate and energy solutions.

1 Gigaton Avoided

Customer Emissions Impact

Aims to help customers avoid more than 1 gigaton of GHG emissions by 2030.

Reduce absolute Scope 3 GHG emissions by 25% by 2030 (from 2021 baseline).
Achieve carbon-neutral operations.
Reduce energy intensity by 10% across operations.
Divert more than 95% of operational waste from landfill.
Deploy water stewardship programs globally, prioritizing water-scarce locations.
Road map strategies: electrification & energy efficiency; digitally-enabled energy solutions; low-GWP refrigerants; sustainable materials.
Science-Based Targets Initiative validation of GHG targets aligned to 1.5 °C trajectory.

Inclusion & Diversity

Global diversity rose to 50%

Executive representation

Global executive diversity increased from 27% female and U.S. people of color executives in 2015 to 50% in 2023.

Women execs grew to 32%

Global leadership

Global women executives increased from 20% in 2015 to 32% in 2023.

People of color execs reached 33%

U.S. representation

U.S. people of color executives rose from 13% in 2015 to 33% in 2023.

Flex work at 20–25%

Remote work policy

Employee flex work philosophy allows remote work approximately 20–25% annually, based on four tenets.

Paradigm for Parity: support coalition with goal of gender parity in senior leadership by 2030.
ELEVATE Women in Leadership: year‑long development program with executive sponsors, assessments, coaching and cross‑business networking.
Employee Resource Groups support grassroots inclusion initiatives and community engagement.
U.S. people of color professionals increased from 18% in 2015 to 27% in 2023.

Articles

Careers at Carrier

Sustainability at Carrier

Innovations

Role

Description

forecast modeling

scenario analysis

model accuracy

dashboard management

ai integration

demand sensing

Incorporate U.S. and Canadian regulatory changes (e.g., SEER2 standards, refrigerant transition) and insights from the Market Intelligence and Strategic Insights team into the forecast and demand planning models
Pressure-test the Annual Operating Plan (Plan) industry outlook forecast to ensure achievability and reasonableness
Generate supplemental industry outlook forecast scenarios through sensitivity analysis against key variables and assumptions to provide senior leadership with a lower and upper bound for the forecast, in addition to the baseline forecast
Maintain an in-depth knowledge of designated markets and trends through monitoring industry reports, market research, and relevant macroeconomic data, most notably from S&P, Moody’s, National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and HARDI
Track and continuously monitor and improve forecast model accuracy using KPIs such as MAPE
Leverage, maintain, and refine PowerBI / QuickSight dashboard of standard planning and forecasting analytics for senior leadership, inclusive of “Red Flag” metrics (e.g. shipment vs. movement, fill rate deltas, actual vs. plan, Add On Replacement vs. Residential New Construction split)
Aggressively identify opportunities to leverage and deploy AI tools and new data sources to improve model accuracy
Transform large amounts of data into meaningful and impactful terms
Collaborate with North America Sales & Operations Planning personnel to mutually develop the SIOP monthly demand forecast for North America Residential and Light Commercial, which balances unconstrainted demand and supply constraints
Collaborate with Carrier Distributor Sales, Distributor Performance, and Strategic Account leadership as well as with North American distributors, dealer advisory councils and OEM partners gather demand signals and validate forecast assumptions
Leverage, maintain, and refine Carrier’s demand sensing forecast for Residential and Light Commercial to detect and respond to short-term changes in customer demand
Leverage, maintain, and refine industry outlook models developed to forecast the North America Residential and Light Commercial HVAC markets for the monthly Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process, Annual Operating Plan (Plan) and five-year Long-Range Plan

Requirements

python

sas

power bi

tableau

excel

master’s degree

Proven ability to execute with speed and exhibit a bias for action
5+ years of advanced demand planning and forecasting
Bachelor’s degree
Familiarity with U.S. and Canadian HVAC industry, including current and future regulations and standards, market dynamics and distribution channels
5+ years of experience developing executive-level summaries and presentations
Experience with statistical modeling, data science tools such as Python, SAS, cloud platforms or similar tools
Demonstrated ability to communicate complex information clearly and accurately to a variety of audiences both orally and through written material
Experience with business intelligence, analytics, data visualization and Supply Chain management tools such as Power BI, Tableau, ThinkCell, Kinaxis and similar tools
Knowledge of macroeconomic trends and factors and their impact on HVAC demand (e.g. regional climate trends, mortgage interest rates, residential new construction starts, existing home sales)
An ability to work collaboratively and deliver results through virtual collaboration environments leveraging platforms such as Microsoft Teams
5+ years of advanced knowledge and work in Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint
Master’s degree, preferably in Business Administration, Data Science/Analytics, Supply Chain, or related field

Benefits

Disability: Short-term and long-term disability
Retirement benefits
Life Insurance and Accidental Death and Dismemberment
Tuition Assistance
Health Care benefits: Medical, Dental, Vision; wellness incentives
Tax-Advantaged Accounts: Health Savings Account; Healthcare Spending Account; Dependent Care Spending Account
Time Off and Leave: Paid vacation days, up to 15 days; paid sick days, up to 5 days; paid personal leave, up to 5 days; paid holidays, up to 13 days; birth and adoption leave; parental leave; family and medical leave; bereavement leave; jury duty; military leave; purchased vacation

Training + Development

Information not given or found

Interview process

Information not given or found

Visa Sponsorship

Information not given or found

Security clearance

Information not given or found

Company

Overview

Over 170 Countries

Global Reach

Carrier operates in over 170 countries worldwide, showcasing its extensive global presence and diverse customer base.

A global leader in high-performance building technologies, with a focus on energy-efficient solutions.
Started as part of United Technologies, Carrier has a long history of innovation in HVAC, refrigeration, and fire safety.
Their product portfolio includes systems for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and fire detection.
Carrier has contributed to significant projects worldwide, from large commercial buildings to sustainable residential solutions.
With a focus on reducing environmental impact, Carrier integrates cutting-edge technology in its products.
From smart building management systems to integrated refrigeration solutions, Carrier leads in the energy-efficient building sector.

Culture + Values

Respect: Others are treated the way they would like to be treated.
Integrity:onesty、accountability and ethics are prioritized.
Inclusion: Efforts are made to create an environment where everyone feels included, regardless of differences.
Innovation: Constant efforts are made to develop, improve and achieve sustainable growth.
Excellence: Delivering high-quality products and services with urgency and flawless execution.
Passion for Customers: Success is tied to the success of customers.
Play to Win: Aiming to be the best in everything that is done.
Choose Speed: Decisions and actions are taken with a focus on speed.
Achieve Results: Performing effectively with integrity.
Dare to Disrupt: Innovating and seeking sustainable solutions.
Build Best Teams: Developing diverse teams and empowering them to move faster.

Environment + Sustainability

Net-Zero by 2050

Long-Term Emissions Goal

Aims to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions across the entire value chain by 2050.

42% Reduction

Scope 1 and 2 Emissions Target

Seeks to reduce absolute Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by 42% by 2030, measured from the 2021 baseline.

$4B Investment

Climate Solutions Funding

Plans to invest over $4 billion by 2030 in intelligent climate and energy solutions.

1 Gigaton Avoided

Customer Emissions Impact

Aims to help customers avoid more than 1 gigaton of GHG emissions by 2030.

Reduce absolute Scope 3 GHG emissions by 25% by 2030 (from 2021 baseline).
Achieve carbon-neutral operations.
Reduce energy intensity by 10% across operations.
Divert more than 95% of operational waste from landfill.
Deploy water stewardship programs globally, prioritizing water-scarce locations.
Road map strategies: electrification & energy efficiency; digitally-enabled energy solutions; low-GWP refrigerants; sustainable materials.
Science-Based Targets Initiative validation of GHG targets aligned to 1.5 °C trajectory.

Inclusion & Diversity

Global diversity rose to 50%

Executive representation

Global executive diversity increased from 27% female and U.S. people of color executives in 2015 to 50% in 2023.

Women execs grew to 32%

Global leadership

Global women executives increased from 20% in 2015 to 32% in 2023.

People of color execs reached 33%

U.S. representation

U.S. people of color executives rose from 13% in 2015 to 33% in 2023.

Flex work at 20–25%

Remote work policy

Employee flex work philosophy allows remote work approximately 20–25% annually, based on four tenets.

Paradigm for Parity: support coalition with goal of gender parity in senior leadership by 2030.
ELEVATE Women in Leadership: year‑long development program with executive sponsors, assessments, coaching and cross‑business networking.
Employee Resource Groups support grassroots inclusion initiatives and community engagement.
U.S. people of color professionals increased from 18% in 2015 to 27% in 2023.

Articles

Careers at Carrier

Sustainability at Carrier

Innovations